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When will WW3 start.
in Politics
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i don't think that the overall conflict progressed too far yet to kick off ww3.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_War
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The world today is a much more stable and diplomacy-friendly place than it was at, pretty much, any point before early 1990-s (although arguably less so than it was a few years ago). While the consensus among the First World countries on striving for globalization and unity has been somewhat spoiled, they still all agree on the general idea of peaceful cooperation and working for the mutual benefit. In addition, after the fall of the Soviet Union, the ideals of democracy and liberty exploded and spread around the world - and even the harshest dictatorships now, at least, have to pretend that they abide by those ideals, or if they do not, that they have a very good reason not to.
The only region where I see the possibility of anything even remotely resembling a global conflict happening is the Middle East, with its centuries-old unresolved religious, territorial and ethnic tensions, as well as a vested interests of superpowers in different directions of the region's evolution. However, it is unlikely to grow into anything more than a clash between a few Islamic countries, and the US, Europe, Russia and China supplying them with resources. It would definitely be unpleasant, but hardly qualify to be called a "World War".
As far as the possibility of a military conflict between the US and Russia, or the US and China, goes, I do not see it happening any time soon, if ever. The US military power far surpasses even Russian and Chinese military powers combined. Russian leadership understands it, and it also understands that its survival depends on Switzerland and the US letting them keep their money in their banks, and Europe buying their natural resources, so it is unlikely to do anything that will jeopardize this relationship. As for China, it expands its influence in a very intelligent way: through diplomacy, trade and financial investment, rather than through blackmail, extortion and territorial expansion. It has no reason to wage a war against its primary economical partner under, pretty much, any circumstances.
And as for the hypothetical scenarios of "a Russian plane in Syria shot down by the US military, leading to a nuclear war" - come on now. There were much larger incidents during Cold War, incidents where planes were shot down left and right, and entire guerrilla wars were waged on certain third-party territories - yet the nukes were never used. Contrary to the popular opinion, initiation of a nuclear strike is not something that can be done by pressing a red button even in such a centralized totalitarian country as North Korea, and it will never happen over some minor incident.
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World War IIL, like I, and II, have come and gone, the difference is that the first 2 Global Wars where conducted and documented with obvious signs of invasion and aggression set against each Nation. What derived the denial of a 3rd World War was the specification it was to be a Nuclear War not simple just another Armed Conflict between countries.
We are somewhere around World War VII give or take, and still no Full blown Chemical War which is what a Nuclear War is by it design. By the way for the Official record Thermal Nuclear War I is in a precedent by itself and not a World War at all.
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"Americanism not Globalism, will be our credo." ~Donald Trump
"A communist is like a crocodile" ~Winston Churchill
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